Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -20000 SEMO +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -33.6 (-28.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -20.0 (-15.0) | 144.7 (+28.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -26.5 (-21.5) | 145.4 (+27.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | MIZ 96 – 89 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#3) | -2.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#10) | -0.30 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#5) | -0.43 (#173) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.7% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 52.6% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.9% | 39.5% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 11.8% |
| ORB% | 47.1% | 14.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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