Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KC -333 LIN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +14 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | KC -9.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -5.7 (+8.3) | 135.7 (-27.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -6.3 (+7.7) | 137.8 (-29.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -7.4 (+6.6) | 137.7 (-29.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -6.6 (+7.4) | 138.3 (-30.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | LIN 80 – 67 KC |
| Dec 9, 2023 | KC 72 – 67 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#235) | -7.5 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#219) | -2.33 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#229) | -3.49 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#148) | 0.397 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 21.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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