Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +250 KC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -0.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -0.6 (-5.6) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.5 (-7.5) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -3.1 (-8.1) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.4 (-7.4) | 138.5 (+0.5) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | LIN 80 – 67 KC |
| Dec 4, 2022 | KC 61 – 47 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#322) | -4.6 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#239) | -2.63 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#237) | -3.41 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#251) | 0.463 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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