Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +320 RICH -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -0.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.9 (+3.9) | 135.9 (-20.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -2.0 (-1.0) | 137.2 (-22.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -2.0 (-1.0) | 137.0 (-22.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -0.9 (+0.1) | 136.4 (-21.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | RICH 90 – 86 W&M |
| Dec 19, 2024 | W&M 93 – 87 RICH |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICH 88 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#231) | 1.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#258) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#266) | -0.34 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#197) | 0.488 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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