Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -500 W&M +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +4 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -6.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -9.1 (-5.1) | 147.0 (+29.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.8 (-2.8) | 147.6 (+28.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | W&M 93 – 87 RICH |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICH 88 – 69 W&M |
| Dec 4, 2022 | W&M 58 – 57 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#205) | 5.2 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#111) | 1.81 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#102) | 2.37 (#34) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 14.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 58.0% | 45.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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