Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -145 RICH +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +6 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -6.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -3.6 (+2.4) | 151.6 (+28.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -4.5 (+1.5) | 151.9 (+28.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.7 (+1.3) | 152.7 (+27.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.4 (+1.6) | 153.5 (+26.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | RICH 90 – 86 W&M |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICH 88 – 69 W&M |
| Dec 4, 2022 | W&M 58 – 57 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#220) | -5.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#271) | -1.13 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#223) | -1.75 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#312) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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