Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -1200 W&M +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -19.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -14.6 (+4.4) | 146.4 (+10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -15.1 (+3.9) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -16.8 (+2.2) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -17.9 (+1.1) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | RICH 90 – 86 W&M |
| Dec 19, 2024 | W&M 93 – 87 RICH |
| Dec 4, 2022 | W&M 58 – 57 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#63) | -5.8 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#183) | -1.77 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#177) | -2.48 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.394 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 11.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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