Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK +275 UVM -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +23 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -3.1 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -4.2 (-18.8) | 130.5 (-21.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UVM -7.5 (-15.5) | 128.9 (-19.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UVM -4.1 (-18.9) | 131.8 (-22.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -3.5 (-19.5) | 132.9 (-23.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | UVM 66 – 59 MRMK |
| Nov 10, 2024 | MRMK 65 – 51 UVM |
| Nov 7, 2023 | UVM 67 – 55 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#350) | -4.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#350) | -0.61 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.58 (#350) | -0.50 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#330) | 0.444 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 23.1 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 58.0% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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