Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -278 MRMK +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -11.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -8.1 (-1.1) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -8.0 (-1.0) | 139.1 (-14.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -9.7 (-2.7) | 140.1 (-15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -8.7 (-1.7) | 139.4 (-14.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | MRMK 65 – 51 UVM |
| Nov 7, 2023 | UVM 67 – 55 MRMK |
| Dec 4, 2022 | UVM 66 – 43 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 8-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#175) | -7.7 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#189) | -0.28 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#177) | -0.78 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 56.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.