Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -163 SJU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -11.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -9.5 (+1.5) | 139.5 (-8.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -9.6 (+1.4) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -9.2 (+1.8) | 141.5 (-10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -9.2 (+1.8) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | ISU 83 – 82 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#30) | 5.7 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#19) | 2.42 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#14) | 3.33 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#50) | 0.547 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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