Betting Lines
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -0.6 (-0.4) | 158.4 (+6.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.4 (-0.6) | 155.7 (+9.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -0.4 (-0.6) | 155.4 (+9.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -0.3 (-1.3) | 155.6 (+9.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | ISU 71 – 60 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#4) | 18.2 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#113) | 1.60 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#94) | 2.41 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#61) | 0.542 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 54.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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