Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -800 BRY +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +26 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -3.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.9 (+22.1) | 151.3 (+16.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -3.6 (+22.4) | 155.6 (+12.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -2.9 (+23.1) | 153.8 (+14.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -3.1 (+22.9) | 154.1 (+13.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | CIN 85 – 53 BRY |
| Dec 6, 2021 | CIN 73 – 58 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#155) | 3.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#188) | 1.30 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | 0.81 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.569 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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