Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
| Money | CIN -4000 BRY +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +32 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -20.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -20.0 (+12.0) | 150.1 (-12.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -18.6 (+13.4) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -18.9 (+13.1) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -22.0 (+10.0) | 152.8 (-14.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | CIN 97 – 71 BRY |
| Dec 6, 2021 | CIN 73 – 58 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-5 |
| Home | 16-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#19) | -1.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#62) | -0.37 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#48) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#95) | 0.469 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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