Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -1600 BRY +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -23.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -16.4 (-1.4) | 141.6 (-10.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -18.2 (-3.2) | 136.3 (-5.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -20.8 (-5.8) | 136.6 (-5.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -21.0 (-6.0) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | CIN 85 – 53 BRY |
| Dec 4, 2022 | CIN 97 – 71 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#44) | -9.6 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#51) | -1.09 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#38) | -1.26 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#43) | 0.429 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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