Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | NE +163 GAST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +20 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | NE -3.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -1.8 (+18.2) | 133.8 (-21.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -1.3 (+18.7) | 131.8 (-19.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -2.7 (+17.3) | 134.2 (-22.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.3 (+17.7) | 133.6 (-21.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2021 | GAST 83 – 64 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#298) | -4.2 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#295) | -1.02 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#295) | -0.92 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#292) | 0.435 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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