Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -200 RICE +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -17.4 (-29.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -8.3 (-20.3) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -10.0 (-22.0) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -10.2 (-22.2) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -10.2 (-22.2) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | RICE 77 – 72 TXST |
| Dec 8, 2024 | TXST 75 – 66 RICE |
| Dec 1, 2021 | TXST 80 – 69 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#168) | -10.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#215) | 0.10 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | 0.08 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#254) | 0.455 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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