Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -162 TXST +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -6.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -3.7 (+1.3) | 133.9 (+15.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.2 (+0.8) | 134.0 (+15.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.0 (+1.0) | 135.1 (+13.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.6 (+0.4) | 134.9 (+14.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | TXST 75 – 66 RICE |
| Dec 4, 2022 | RICE 83 – 71 TXST |
| Dec 1, 2021 | TXST 80 – 69 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#252) | -7.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#295) | -0.81 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#265) | -1.05 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#293) | 0.439 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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