Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -280 RICE +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -7.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -5.0 (+4.0) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -5.1 (+3.9) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -5.8 (+3.2) | 136.1 (+4.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -5.5 (+3.5) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | RICE 77 – 72 TXST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | RICE 83 – 71 TXST |
| Dec 1, 2021 | TXST 80 – 69 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#124) | -0.1 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#102) | 0.51 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#126) | 0.48 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#98) | 0.492 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 40.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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