Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -0.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -0.9 (-10.1) | 148.5 (+0.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -1.5 (-12.5) | 154.5 (-5.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -1.1 (-12.1) | 155.3 (-6.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -0.5 (-10.5) | 150.7 (-1.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | RICE 77 – 72 TXST |
| Dec 8, 2024 | TXST 75 – 66 RICE |
| Dec 4, 2022 | RICE 83 – 71 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#181) | 5.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#165) | 1.45 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#187) | 1.82 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#146) | 0.576 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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