Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · December 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money QUIN -250 / NIA +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual NIA +4 124 Lost
Massey QUIN -12.2 (-16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 125.3 (-1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -7.6 (-11.6) 133.2 (-9.2) 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -7.7 (-11.7) 133.9 (-9.9) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -7.9 (-11.9) 132.7 (-8.7) 81% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -8.1 (-12.1) 131.4 (-7.4) 76% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 78 – 76 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 56 – 55 NIA
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 76 – 75 QUIN
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 80 – 66 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 20-12 16-15
Conference 11-9 10-10
Home 9-4 9-4
Away 9-6 4-10
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 64.2
Avg Pts Against 69.8 66.4
Massey 5.1 (#86) -1.3 (#207)
Bradley-Terry 1.86 (#49) 0.35 (#152)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.60 (#56) 0.19 (#169)
RPI 0.539 (#120) 0.570 (#76)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 44.2% 41.8%
3PT% 39.0% 31.6%
REB / G 42.7 33.5
OREB / G 13.4 9.5
AST / TO 0.84 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 46.4%
TOV% 21.6% 19.9%
ORB% 35.3% 28.6%
FT Rate 19.8% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 15.1%
DRB% 77.1% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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