Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -1200 UND +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -16.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -13.0 (+8.0) | 145.5 (+13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -12.4 (+8.6) | 144.5 (+14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -12.0 (+9.0) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -11.9 (+9.1) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | PORT 83 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#75) | -5.3 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#141) | -0.31 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#121) | -0.87 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#161) | 0.464 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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