Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UND +120 PORT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -3.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -1.6 (-12.6) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -4.1 (-15.1) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -3.9 (-14.9) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -4.5 (-15.5) | 144.9 (+10.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | PORT 90 – 69 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#297) | -5.0 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#124) | -0.63 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#160) | -0.77 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#167) | 0.479 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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