The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Horizon League · Nutter Center · December 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money WRST -120 / YSU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual YSU +11 165 Lost
Massey YSU -4.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 163.7 (+1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -4.3 (-6.7) 153.6 (+11.4) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -5.1 (-5.9) 154.2 (+10.8) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -3.7 (-7.3) 155.6 (+9.4) 37% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -4.2 (-6.8) 153.9 (+11.1) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2026 WRST 93 – 83 YSU
Dec 3, 2025 YSU 69 – 68 WRST
Jan 30, 2025 YSU 88 – 86 WRST
Dec 19, 2024 YSU 80 – 70 WRST
Feb 2, 2024 YSU 88 – 77 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST YSU
Overall 18-15 24-10
Conference 10-10 15-5
Home 9-6 14-3
Away 7-8 9-6
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.3 80.4
Avg Pts Against 74.7 72.9
Massey -3.8 (#241) 6.4 (#65)
Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#277) 0.64 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.81 (#287) 1.02 (#124)
RPI 0.400 (#318) 0.532 (#132)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST YSU
FG% 49.9% 48.3%
3PT% 35.5% 36.4%
REB / G 33.7 38.6
OREB / G 6.3 12.7
AST / TO 1.26 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 53.7%
TOV% 17.9% 19.1%
ORB% 19.1% 35.6%
FT Rate 15.1% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 18.8%
DRB% 78.7% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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