Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +240 USI -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | USI -4.5 (+21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -5.6 (+22.6) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -3.1 (+20.1) | 148.9 (-9.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -3.6 (+20.6) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -2.9 (+19.9) | 149.1 (-10.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | CHST 78 – 67 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-0 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-20 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#302) | 3.1 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#261) | 0.34 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#271) | 0.39 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#269) | 0.545 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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