Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | USI -150 CHST +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -18.2 (-29.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -7.4 (-18.4) | 131.6 (+13.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -7.6 (-18.6) | 127.9 (+17.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -6.3 (-17.3) | 129.7 (+15.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | CHST 78 – 61 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#257) | -10.5 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#297) | -1.87 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#296) | -2.53 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.062 (#255) | 0.500 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 30.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.6% | 35.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 8.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.