Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -300 FIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -20.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -17.6 (-8.6) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -15.1 (-6.1) | 147.1 (-8.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -16.1 (-7.1) | 148.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -17.9 (-8.9) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | FIU 89 – 83 FGCU |
| Nov 24, 2024 | FGCU 60 – 59 FIU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FGCU 68 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | FIU 77 – 61 FGCU |
| Dec 17, 2020 | FIU 85 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#61) | -7.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#64) | -2.50 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#70) | -3.80 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#57) | 0.353 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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