Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.8 (-17.8) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.8 (-16.8) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.2 (-19.2) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.8 (-18.8) | 144.8 (+9.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | FIU 89 – 83 FGCU |
| Nov 24, 2024 | FGCU 60 – 59 FIU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FGCU 68 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | FGCU 74 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | FIU 77 – 61 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#182) | 1.8 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#80) | -0.17 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#100) | -0.55 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#57) | 0.517 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 10.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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