Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -102 FGCU -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +6 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -3.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -1.6 (+4.4) | 155.4 (+16.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.2 (+4.8) | 155.6 (+16.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -2.0 (+4.0) | 152.8 (+19.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -2.4 (+3.6) | 154.2 (+17.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | FGCU 60 – 59 FIU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FGCU 68 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | FGCU 74 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | FIU 77 – 61 FGCU |
| Dec 17, 2020 | FIU 85 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#233) | -2.9 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#302) | -0.94 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#303) | -0.39 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#189) | 0.447 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 61.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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