Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -5.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -5.5 (+10.5) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -4.1 (+11.9) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -5.4 (+10.6) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -5.0 (+11.0) | 142.7 (-4.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | FIU 89 – 83 FGCU |
| Nov 24, 2024 | FGCU 60 – 59 FIU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FGCU 68 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | FGCU 74 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2020 | FIU 85 – 69 FGCU |
Game Analysis
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