Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -125 FGCU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -6.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.7 (-5.7) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -5.7 (-8.7) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -5.9 (-8.9) | 145.4 (-12.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -4.3 (-7.3) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | FIU 89 – 83 FGCU |
| Nov 24, 2024 | FGCU 60 – 59 FIU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | FGCU 74 – 65 FIU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | FIU 77 – 61 FGCU |
| Dec 17, 2020 | FIU 85 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#276) | -6.0 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#296) | -3.88 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#277) | -5.78 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#300) | 0.376 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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