Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +54 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -22.7 (+31.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -22.3 (+31.7) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -23.4 (+30.6) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -18.5 (+35.5) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -20.9 (+33.1) | 132.2 (+1.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#6) | -0.0 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#30) | 1.25 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#32) | 1.61 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#23) | 0.570 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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