Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -120 GW +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -11.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.9 (+1.1) | 141.0 (+21.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -5.4 (+4.6) | 140.1 (+21.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.8 (+2.2) | 144.5 (+17.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -8.1 (+1.9) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2021 | GW 67 – 58 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#112) | -1.9 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#212) | -0.53 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#225) | -0.94 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#207) | 0.463 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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