Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -1400 CAN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +30 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -18.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -14.8 (+15.2) | 147.2 (+2.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -15.6 (+14.4) | 148.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -13.3 (+16.7) | 146.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -15.1 (+14.9) | 145.7 (+4.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#56) | -4.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#128) | -1.47 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#126) | -1.47 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#113) | 0.432 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 11.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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