Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | USD +155 UNLV -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +17 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -1.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -1.1 (-15.9) | 143.7 (+29.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -2.4 (-14.6) | 140.8 (+32.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -1.3 (-15.7) | 142.2 (+30.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -1.6 (-15.4) | 143.1 (+29.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | UNLV 80 – 57 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#219) | 5.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#210) | 3.01 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#173) | 3.78 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#243) | 0.685 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 31.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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