Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -3.4 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -4.0 (+19.0) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -4.5 (+18.5) | 132.0 (+5.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -3.4 (+19.6) | 133.2 (+3.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -3.6 (+19.4) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | UNLV 95 – 78 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#207) | -0.3 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#151) | -0.13 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#137) | 0.35 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#138) | 0.477 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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