Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -1000 USA +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -13.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -13.3 (-5.3) | 154.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -13.1 (-5.1) | 152.4 (-8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.2 (-5.2) | 153.4 (-9.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -12.1 (-4.1) | 153.7 (-9.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | UAB 80 – 72 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#33) | 3.2 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#117) | -0.06 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#125) | 0.56 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#109) | 0.528 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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