Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -290 USA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -15.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -9.6 (-1.6) | 139.7 (+12.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -11.6 (-3.6) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -11.7 (-3.7) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -11.0 (-3.0) | 137.6 (+14.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | UAB 76 – 68 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#73) | -1.8 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#211) | 3.24 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#187) | 4.35 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#207) | 0.617 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 22.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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