Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +400 FAU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +28 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -12.1 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -10.5 (-17.5) | 150.6 (+23.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -8.9 (-19.1) | 147.1 (+26.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -9.4 (-18.6) | 149.8 (+24.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -10.9 (-17.1) | 151.4 (+22.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | FAU 100 – 57 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 18-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-13 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#312) | 10.0 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#331) | 2.23 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#318) | 2.69 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#351) | 0.633 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.