Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +43 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -23.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -17.5 (+25.5) | 141.0 (+16.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -19.8 (+23.2) | 138.5 (+18.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -17.4 (+25.6) | 139.6 (+17.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | FAU 101 – 73 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#63) | -6.3 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#49) | 0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#43) | -0.03 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#27) | 0.479 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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