Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CP +175 CBU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | CP -1.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.4 (+12.4) | 128.7 (-11.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -1.1 (+9.9) | 130.0 (-13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -1.6 (+9.4) | 129.7 (-12.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -0.5 (+10.5) | 128.8 (-11.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | CBU 67 – 58 CP |
| Dec 3, 2021 | CBU 64 – 55 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#257) | -0.2 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#257) | -0.01 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#250) | 0.12 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#285) | 0.470 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 17.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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