Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · November 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money CBU -1000 / CP +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +9 125 Won
Massey CBU -11.0 (-2.0) — —
Massey Totals — 137.8 (-12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -8.6 (+0.4) 132.7 (-7.7) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -7.9 (+1.1) 137.1 (-12.1) 76% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -8.6 (+0.4) 137.2 (-12.2) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -7.9 (+1.1) 135.0 (-10.0) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2022 CP 64 – 53 CBU
Dec 3, 2021 CBU 64 – 55 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU CP
Overall 16-17 4-28
Conference 8-12 0-20
Home 11-7 3-11
Away 4-9 0-16
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 2-1 1-3
Streak L1 L20
Avg Pts For 67.1 63.1
Avg Pts Against 67.1 74.5
Massey -2.0 (#218) -5.0 (#273)
Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#185) 0.22 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#219) -0.44 (#200)
RPI 0.479 (#204) 0.468 (#221)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU CP
FG% 43.3% 41.7%
3PT% 37.7% 33.3%
REB / G 36.3 29.5
OREB / G 11.7 8.5
AST / TO 1.22 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 46.1%
TOV% 16.7% 13.4%
ORB% 32.7% 22.5%
FT Rate 26.8% 15.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 58.0%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 18.2%
DRB% 71.2% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 39.7%

Game Analysis

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