Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -10.0 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money CBU -550 / CP +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +9 119 Won
Massey CBU -16.5 (-7.5) — —
Massey Totals — 132.0 (-13.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -10.2 (-1.2) 133.5 (-14.5) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -12.1 (-3.1) 137.7 (-18.7) 87% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -12.8 (-3.8) 136.2 (-17.2) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -10.5 (-1.5) 134.8 (-15.8) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2023 CBU 67 – 58 CP
Dec 4, 2022 CP 64 – 53 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU CP
Overall 18-16 7-21
Conference 7-11 2-12
Home 14-5 4-7
Away 3-9 2-12
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 60.6
Avg Pts Against 69.0 67.9
Massey -1.0 (#200) -11.4 (#340)
Bradley-Terry 1.49 (#73) -2.71 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#73) -3.37 (#325)
RPI 0.548 (#105) 0.347 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU CP
FG% 50.8% 39.0%
3PT% 36.3% 29.1%
REB / G 34.2 37.6
OREB / G 8.2 13.0
AST / TO 1.12 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.2% 43.8%
TOV% 23.8% 23.3%
ORB% 28.3% 35.5%
FT Rate 24.0% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 19.6%
DRB% 71.8% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.3% 30.1%

Game Analysis

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