Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -125 LBSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -6.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.5 (+6.5) | 139.6 (+26.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.6 (+6.4) | 143.9 (+22.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.9 (+6.1) | 141.4 (+24.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.0 (+6.0) | 139.6 (+26.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | UVU 84 – 78 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 12-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#191) | -0.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#309) | 0.22 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#300) | 0.66 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#262) | 0.476 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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