Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -12.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.2 (-12.2) | 157.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -4.3 (-10.3) | 151.0 (+11.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -5.6 (-11.6) | 157.4 (+4.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -7.7 (-13.7) | 158.1 (+3.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | UVU 88 – 78 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#94) | 1.8 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#63) | 1.08 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#71) | 1.43 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#91) | 0.383 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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