Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -250 APP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -15.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -9.6 (-0.6) | 123.5 (+9.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -10.9 (-1.9) | 129.6 (+3.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -12.3 (-3.3) | 127.5 (+5.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -12.1 (-3.1) | 125.6 (+7.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | APP 65 – 63 CLT |
| Nov 18, 2021 | CLT 67 – 66 APP |
| Dec 11, 2020 | APP 61 – 57 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#68) | -3.1 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#52) | -0.92 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#82) | -1.31 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#67) | 0.418 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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