Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -150 APP +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -3.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -5.0 (-9.0) | 134.2 (-16.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -2.3 (-6.3) | 130.7 (-12.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -3.8 (-7.8) | 132.2 (-14.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -3.4 (-7.4) | 132.2 (-14.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | APP 65 – 63 CLT |
| Dec 3, 2022 | CLT 71 – 62 APP |
| Nov 18, 2021 | CLT 67 – 66 APP |
Game Analysis
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