Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -33.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -20000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +30 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -36.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 110.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -25.3 (+4.7) | 128.9 (+5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -27.1 (+2.9) | 129.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -32.4 (-2.4) | 126.2 (+7.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -33.3 (-3.3) | 128.3 (+5.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | MSST 87 – 48 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#12) | -14.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#5) | -2.34 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.67 (#5) | -4.04 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#15) | 0.412 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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