Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -37.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +39 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -38.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -24.5 (+14.5) | 153.1 (-18.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -23.7 (+15.3) | 148.0 (-13.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -38.6 (+0.4) | 147.2 (-12.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -34.9 (+4.1) | 151.9 (-16.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | MSST 82 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 87.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#107) | -31.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#148) | -2.27 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#155) | -3.39 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#164) | 0.421 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 33.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 15.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 6.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 57.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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