Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -138 RID +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -13.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -8.5 (-11.5) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -7.4 (-10.4) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -7.9 (-10.9) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -8.4 (-11.4) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MSM 65 – 55 RID |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MSM 71 – 61 RID |
| Feb 23, 2025 | MSM 79 – 72 RID |
| Jan 17, 2025 | RID 66 – 60 MSM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RID 61 – 57 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#107) | -3.4 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#110) | -2.42 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#127) | -3.29 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#98) | 0.346 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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