Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -1000 EKU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +17 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -26.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -22.0 (-5.0) | 149.5 (+27.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -20.1 (-3.1) | 151.2 (+25.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -20.7 (-3.7) | 148.2 (+28.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -21.3 (-4.3) | 148.4 (+28.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2021 | JMU 79 – 78 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#13) | -4.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#79) | 0.04 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#70) | -1.08 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.509 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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